Basketball, Sports

Odds of Every NBA Draft Pick Turning Into a Star

What are the odds that your team’s pick in this year’s draft will turn into a star or even a franchise player? Now, more than ever, it seems like any draft position could potentially result in a franchise player, with Jokic only the most extreme example.

But that’s not really true. The #1 pick is still far and away the most likely spot in the draft to produce a star, especially a generational one. No matter how many picks turn into Greg Oden or Kwame Brown, the odds are still best if your team picks first. But what about other picks?

To figure this out, we looked at the history of every pick from 1 to 30 to see how many have turned into rotation players, stars and franchise players.

Historical Odds for the Top 30 Picks

We’re only looking at the Top 30 picks in the NBA draft. That’s because, prior to 2005, the 1st round ended earlier than the 30th pick, so the 30th pick was a 2nd round pick or later for most of NBA draft history. And prior to 2005, the draft wasn’t a consistent length. It was 57 or 58 picks from 1995 to 2004, and it was 54 picks from 1989 to 1994. The NBA Draft Lottery was introduced for 1985 and, for a few years there were multiple rounds with over 160 picks (reduced to 75 for 1988). Prior to the Draft Lottery, the NBA Draft was many rounds.

But most of the players drafted in later rounds in the past didn’t amount to much, if they even played. So looking at, say, the odds for the Top 60 picks, doesn’t really tell us much going forward. Sure it’s exhaustive in terms of coverage of the topic, but the research is also exhaustive for me.

Criteria for Success

We’re evaluating these picks by a bunch of different metrics, some longevity criteria but mostly in terms of accomplishments. We’ve limited the list to NBA success only, no ABA and no international accomplishments have been considered.

There have been 77 players drafted per each of the Top 30 spots throughout the history of the NBA Draft. So unless otherwise noted, the percentage of success is the number of players out of 77 total.

Here are the accomplishments we’re noting for each pick

410 Regular Season Games Played

410 games in the NBA is equal to five fully healthy seasons now. It’s a decent NBA career, especially earlier on in NBA history. Nobody from the 2019 draft has played in 410 games yet so we limited the sample to be from 1947, the first BAA draft, to 2018, or 72 years.

820 Regular Season Games Played

The equivalent of 10 fully healthy seasons in the NBA, this is an excellent NBA career. Only a few hundred players have ever actually achieved this. It’s a good benchmark for a journeyman career in our modern era and an absolutely excellent career in the past. The first player to play in this many games was drafted in 1948 and at least one player from 2013 has played in 820 games, so our sample is from 1948 to 2013, or 66 years.

1230 Regular Season Games Played

Only 40 players have ever made it into 1230 games. So this criterion either indicates a great career or an absolutely excellent journeyman career. We’re only including drafts from 1962 through 2005, or 44 years.

Won a Championship

We’re noting any players who have won at least one championship. Now, obviously there is a big difference between someone who starts in the Finals and someone who barely plays or just gets a ring for being on the roster. But we’re going to be generous here and include anyone who got a ring. That’s mostly because it’s so much more work to figure out the players who started more than 50% of playoff games in any particular season, or who were top 5 in Win Shares or BPM or VORP in the playoffs the year they won.

All Star

Though being selected for the All Star game is far less prestigious than some other awards on this list, it’s still a relatively rare achievement, so this is the first our individual achievement-based criteria. The All Star Game has always existed, and there have been All Stars through the 2023 draft so we’re including every year of the Draft.

All Defense

All Defense was introduced in 1968-69. 1956 was the first draft to produce a player who made an All-Defense team. With Wembanyama making All Defense this year, we’re including every draft from 1956 through 2023, or 68 years.

All NBA

All NBA has existed since the beginning so we’re including every draft.

Win Share Leader (WSL)

The Win Share leader of a particular draft. You can read about how Basketball Reference calculates Win Shares here.

Box Plus Minus Leader (BPML)

The leader in his draft year in Box Plus Minus. Read the explanation for how Box Plus Minus is calculated here. The way this is calculated, it can’t be calculated for most of the first two decades of NBA history so we’re talking about 58 years of draft history.

Value Over Replacement Player Leader (VORPL)

The leader in his draft in Value over Replacement Player. See the above link to the BPM explanation for an explanation of the basketball version of VORP. 58 years is our sample again.

Hall of Famer

Is the player in the Basketball Hall of Fame?

We are going to cheat a little bit here and induct a few people who are no-brainer locks but not already in. Obviously anyone who is still active is not in the Hall of Fame. Nobody drafted since the switch to a 30-pick 1st round has made the Hall of Fame so we could exclude those picks. However, we will cheat and say that a few of those players – LeBron, Chris Paul, Kevin Durant, Steph Curry – are locks and therefore count as inductions. We’re also including players later inducted as coaches. I know, that skews the results a little bit but we’re being inclusive here.

Sixth Man

Though a less prestigious award than the below awards, most teams would still be happy to draft a player who later becomes the best bench player in the league. This was introduced in 1982-83. We’re starting with the 1974 draft and going through the 2019 draft.

Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY)

The DPOY award was also introduced in the 1982-83 season. We’re including drafts from 1978 to 2018.

MVP

The MVP was introduced a few years into the league, so we’ll start with the 1950 draft and go through to 2014.

Finals MVP aka the Bill Russell

The Finals MVP trophy was introduced in 1969. We’re starting with the 1960 draft and going through to 2014. When Doncic, or Tatum or Brown win the Finals MVP this year we’ll update the percentages to account for the draft of that player.

NBA 75th Anniversary Team

We’re also including all 76 players to make this team.


You’ll notice we’re not including All-Rookie or Rookie of the Year. Especially with All-Rookie, many of the players who make this team do not have much of a career. Even Rookie of the Year itself is not always indicative of a super successful career. Think Michael Carter-Williams and his 395 career games. So we’ve left them out.


The Best Draft Position in the NBA Draft

Here are the best picks for each of the above achievements, as well as the worst spot. Below we’ll break down each achievement by pick.

AchievementBest Spot2nd Best Spot3rd Best SpotWorst Spot
Pick plays in 410 Games1st (77.8%)3rd (75%)2nd (70.8%)26th (18.1%)
Pick plays in 820 Games2nd (39.4%)5th (37.9%)1st (36.4%)22nd/27th (3%)
Pick plays 1230 Games1st (13.6%)9th (11.4%)5th/8th/10th (6.8%14 spots (0%)
Pick is an NBA Champion1st (31.2%)4th/10th (27.3%)26th (2.6%)
Pick is an All Star1st (61%)3rd (45.5%)2nd (42.9%)26th (1.3%)
Pick makes All Defense1st (22.1%)3rd/2nd (14.7%22nd (0%)
Pick makes All NBA1st (39%)3rd (32.5%)2nd (29.9%)26th (0%)
Pick is Win Shares Leader in draft1st (18.2%)3rd (15.6%)2nd/4th (9.1%11 spots (0%)
Pick is BPM Leader in draft1st (25.9%)3rd (13.8%)2nd (8.6%)11 spots (0%)
Pick is VORP Leader in draft1st (17.2%)2nd (12.1%)4th (10.3%)12 spots (0%
Pick is a Hall of Famer1st (27.3%)2nd (22.1%)3rd/5th (18.2%)25th/30th (0%)
Pick won Sixth Man3rd (6.5%)8 spots (4.3%)15 spots (0%)
Pick won DPOY2nd (9.8%)1st (7.3%)4 spots (4.9%)19 spots (0%)
Pick won MVP1st (16.9%)2nd (7.7%)3rd (6.2%)19 spots (0%)
Finals MVP1st (14.5%)2nd/9th (7.3%)15 spots (0%)
Pick named to the NBA 75th Anniversary Team1st (19.5%)2nd (14.3%)3rd (10.4%)12 spots (0%)

So obviously it’s best to have the 1st pick basically all of the time. And it’s usually next best to have either the 2nd pick (for better chances of all-time talent) or the 3rd pick (for pretty great players). But we knew that already.

So let’s look at how good the chances are for each pick in the Top 30:

Historical Chances a Player Will Have a Long NBA Career by Pick

X-axis is # of players
At least410 Games820 Games1230 Games
1st77.8% (1st)36.3% (3rd)13.6% (1st)
2nd70.8% (3rd)39.4% (1st)4.5% (t-6th)
3rd75% (2nd)30.3% (6th)4.5% (t-6th)
4th68.1% (4th)34.8% (4th)4.5% (t-6th)
5th66.7% (5th)37.9% (2nd)6.8% (t-3rd)
6th61.1% (7th)24.2% (t-7th)0% (t-last)
7th63.9% (6th)24.2% (t-7th)0% (t-last)
8th59.7% (8th)24.2% (t-7th)6.8% (t-3rd)
9th50% (t-11th)31.8% (5th)11.4% (2nd)
10th58.3% (9th)21.2% (10th)6.8% (t-3rd)
11th47.2% (13th)10.6% (t-15th)4.5% (t-6th)
12th51.4% (10th)10.6% (t-15th)2.3% (t-12th)
13th50% (t-11th)16.7% (t-12th)4.5% (t-6th)
14th38.9% (14th)18.1% (11th)0% (t-last)
15th31.9% (22nd)10.6% (t-15th)0% (t-last)
16th33.3% (21st)10.6% (t-15th)2.3% (t-12th)
17th37.5% (t-15th)9.1% (t-21st)0% (t-last)
18th36.1% (18th)16.7% (13th)2.3% (t-12th)
19th37.5% (t-16th)9.1% (t-21st)0% (t-last)
20th34.7% (t-19th)6.1% (t-24th)0% (t-last)
21st34.7% (t-19th)7.6% (23rd)0% (t-last)
22nd27.8% (t-24th)3% (t-last)0% (t-last)
23rd37.5% (t-16th)10.6% (t-15th)2.3% (t-12th)
24th29.2% (23rd)16.7% (t-12th)4.5% (t-6th)
25th20.8% (28th)6.1% (t-24th)0% (t-last)
26th18.1% (last)6.1% (t-24th)0% (t-last)
27th27.8% (t-24th)3% (t-last)0% (t-last)
28th19.4% (29th)4.5% (t-27th)2.3% (t-12th)
29th25% (26th)10.6% (t-15th)0% (t-last)
30th23.6% (27th)4.5% (t-27th)0% (t-last)
A bolded rank means the pick performed better than picks above it

Historical Odds a Player will be make All Star/All NBA by Pick

X-axis is number of players

When we figured out which picks were champions, we just did the odds for those who had been on a championship roster. Figuring out whether a player started more than 50% of playoff games, or was in the Top 5 in Win Shares, BPM or VORP on their team would have taken forever. So we’re not going to include that criterion here, as the total number includes guys who sat most of the playoffs or were hurt. But it’s included in our sections on each individual pick below.

Made at least oneAll Star GameAll Defense TeamAll NBA Team
1st61% (1st)22.1% (1st)39% (1st)
2nd42.9% (3rd)14.7% (t-2nd)29.9% (3rd)
3rd45.5% (2nd)14.7% (t-2nd)32.5% (2nd)
4th33.8% (5th)8.9% (t-5th)15.6% (t-5th)
5th39% (4th)13.2% (4th)22.1% (4th)
6th27.3% (6th)8.9% (t-5th)10.4% (t-8th)
7th18.2% (9th)5.9% (t-12th)9.1% (t-10th)
8th16.9% (10th)4.4% (t-17th)10.4% (t-8th)
9th23.4% (8th)7.4% (t-9th)14.3% (7th)
10th24.7% (7th)8.9% (t-5th)15.6% (t-5th)
11th15.6% (11th)5.9% (t-12th)9.1% (t-10th)
12th11.7% (t-13th)7.4% (t-9th)5.2% (t-13th)
13th11.7% (t-13th)8.9% (t-5th)5.2% (t-13th)
14th13% (12th)7.4% (t-9th)6.5% (12th)
15th5.2% (28th)2.9% (t-25th)5.2% (t-13th)
16th7.8% (t-18th)4.4% (t-17th)2.6% (t-22nd)
17th9.1% (t-16th)5.9% (t-12th)5.2% (t-13th)
18th10.4% (15th)4.4% (t-17th)1.3% (t-26th)
19th9.1% (t-16th)1.5% (t-28th)5.2% (t-13th)
20th7.8% (t-18th)4.4% (t-17th)5.2% (t-13th)
21st7.8% (t-18th)2.9% (t-25th)1.3% (t-26th)
22nd6.5% (t-22nd)0% (last)2.6% (t-22nd)
23rd6.5% (t-22nd)4.4% (t-17th)1.3% (t-26th)
24th7.8% (t-18th)4.4% (t-17th)3.9% (t-19th)
25th6.5% (t-22nd)5.9% (t-12th)1.3% (t-26th)
26th1.3% (last)1.5% (t-28th)0% (last)
27th6.5% (t-22nd)4.4% (t-17th)3.9% (t-19th)
28th2.6% (29th)2.9% (t-25th)2.6% (t-22nd)
29th6.5% (t-22nd)5.9% (t-12th)2.6% (t-22nd)
30th6.5% (t-22nd)4.4% (t-17th)3.9% (t-19th)
A bolded rank means the pick performed better than picks above it

Beware the 26th pick.

Historical Draft Leaders by Pick

X-axis is number of players
Led draft inWin SharesBox Plus MinusVORP
1st18.2% (1st)25.9% (1st)17.2% (1st)
2nd9.1% (t-3rd)8.6% (3rd)8.6% (4th)
3rd15.6% (2nd)13.8% (2nd)12.1% (2nd)
4th9.1% (t-3rd)5.2% (t-4th)10.3% (3rd)
5th3.9% (t-7th)3.4% (t-6th)5.2% (t-5th)
6th2.6% (t-10th)5.2% (t-4th)5.2% (t-5th)
7th0% (t-last)1.7% (t-14th)0% (t-last)
8th3.9% (t-7th)0% (t-last)1.7% (t-12th)
9th5.2% (6th)3.4% (t-6th)3.4% (t-8th)
10th3.9% (t-7th)1.7% (t-14th)1.7% (t-12th)
11th1.3% (t-12th)3.4% (t-6th)1.7% (t-12th)
12th6.5% (5th)3.4% (t-6th)5.2% (t-5th)
13th2.6% (t-10th)3.4% (t-6th)3.4% (t-8th)
14th1.3% (t-12th)3.4% (t-6th)3.4% (t-8th)
15th1.3% (t-12th)3.4% (t-6th)3.4% (t-8th)
16th1.3% (t-12th)1.7% (t-14th)0% (t-last)
17th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
18th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
19th0% (t-last)1.7% (t-14th)1.7% (t-12th)
20th1.3% (t-12th)3.4% (t-6th)1.7% (t-12th)
21st0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
22nd0% (t-last)1.7% (t-14th)1.7% (t-12th)
23rd0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
24th1.3% (t-12th)1.7% (t-14th)1.7% (t-12th)
25th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
26th1.3% (t-12th)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
27th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
28th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
29th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
30th1.3% (t-12th)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
A bolded rank means the pick performed better than picks above it

Historical Chances Player Makes the Hall of Fame/75th Team

X-axis is number of players
Player madeHall of Fame75th Anniversary Team
1st27.3%-31.2% (1st)19.5% (1st)
2nd22.1% (2nd)14.3% (2nd)
3rd18.2%-22.1% (t-3rd/2nd)10.4% (3rd)
4th11.7% (5th)9.1% (4th)
5th18.2% -19.5%(t-3rd/3rd)7.8% (5th)
6th9.1%-10.4% (7th/t-6th)5.2% (6th)
7th6.5% (t-8th)2.6% (t-9th)
8th6.5% (t-8th)2.6% (t-9th)
9th5.2% (11th)3.9% (t-7th)
10th10.4%-11.7% (6th/t-5th)2.6% (t-9th)
11th3.9%-6.5% (t-12th/t-8th)1.3% (t-14th)
12th3.9% (t-12th)1.3% (t-14th)
13th3.9% (t-12th)2.6% (t-9th)
14th6.5% (t-8th)2.6% (t-9th)
15th1.3%-3.9% (t-22nd/t-12th)3.9% (t-7th)
16th1.3%-2.6% (t-22nd/t-16th)1.3% (t-14th)
17th2.6% (t-16th)0% (t-last)
18th2.6%-3.9% (t-16th/t-12th)0% (t-last)
19th3.9%-5.2% (t-12th/t-11th))1.3% (t-14th)
20th2.6%-3.9% (t-16th/t-12th)0% (t-last)
21st1.3% (t-22nd)0% (t-last)
22nd1.3% (t-22nd)0% (t-last)
23rd2.6%-3.9% (t-16th/t-12th)0% (t-last)
24th1.3%-2.6% (t-22nd/t-16th)0% (t-last)
25th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
26th1.3% (t-22nd)0% (t-last)
27th2.6%-3.9% (t-16th-t-12th)1.3% (t-14th)
28th1.3%-2.6% (t-22nd/t-16th)0% (t-last)
29th2.6%-3.9% (t-16th-t-12th)0% (t-last)
30th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
A bolded rank means the pick performed better than picks above it. A few players who aren’t in the Hall I have already deemed worthy (LeBron, Steph, KD, etc.) but the range of percentages and ranks reflects some players who have good chances to be inducted based on careers that are better than, say, those of Walter Davis, Mitch Richmond or James Worthy. For example, we haven’t automatically inducted SGA yet but if he keeps this up he’ll be in the HOF whether or not he ever wins a championship.

Historical Chances Player Wins Award

X-axis is number of players
Player wonSixth ManDPOYMVPFinals MVP
1st4.3% (t-2nd)26.8% (1st)16.9% (1st)14.5% (1st)
2nd0% (t-last)12.1% (2nd)7.7% (2nd)7.2% (t-2nd)
3rd6.5% (1st)9.8% (3rd)6.2% (3rd)5.5% (4th)
4th4.3% (t-2nd)7.3% (4th)4.6% (4th)1.8% (t-7th)
5th4.3% (t-2nd)4.9% (t-5th)3.7% (t-5th)1.8% (t-7th)
6th0% (t-last)2.4% (t-8th)1.5% (t-8th)1.8% (t-7th)
7th4.3% (t-2nd)2.4% (t-8th)1.5% (t-8th)1.8% (t-7th)
8th4.3% (t-2nd)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
9th1.3% (t-10th)2.4% (t-8th)1.5% (t-8th)7.2% (t-2nd)
10th1.3% (t-10th)2.4% (t-8th)1.5% (t-8th)3.6% (t-5th)
11th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
12th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)1.8% (t-7th)
13th4.3% (t-2nd)4.9% (t-5th)3.7% (t-5th)1.8% (t-7th)
14th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
15th1.3% (t-10th)4.9% (t-5th)3.7% (t-5th)3.6% (t-5th)
16th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
17th1.3% (t-10th)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
18th4.3% (t-2nd)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)1.8% (t-7th)
19th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
20th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
21st0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
22nd0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
23rd1.3% (t-10th)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
24th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
25th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
26th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
27th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
28th1.3% (t-10th)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)1.8% (t-7th)
29th4.3% (t-2nd)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)1.8% (t-7th)
30th0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)0% (t-last)
A bolded rank means the pick performed better than picks above it

Best Player by Pick:

Everything above is objective but this is the one subjective table. Here is a rough estimate of the best players by pick throughout the history of the draft. To see the rationale for the controversial selections, see below.

PickPlayer
1stLeBron James (2003)
2ndBill Russell? (1956)
3rdMichael Jordan (1984)
4thChris Paul? (2005)
5thKevin Garnett? (1995)
6thLarry Bird (1978)
7thStephen Curry (2009)
8thSam Jones (1956)
9thDirk Nowitzki (1998)
10thWillis Reed (1964)
11thReggie Miller? (1987)
12thJulius Erving (1972)
13thKobe Bryant (1996)
14thClyde Drexler (1983)
15thGiannis Antetokounmpo (2013)
16thJohn Stockton (1984)
17thBill Sharman (1950)
18thJoe Dumars (1985)
19thTiny Archibald (1970)
20thCliff Hagan? (1953)
21stRajon Rondo (2006)
22ndGeorge McGinnis (1973)
23rdAlex English (1976)
24thKyle Lowry? (2006)
25thMark Price (1986)
26thVlade Divac (1989)
27thDennis Rodman (1986)
28thTony Parker (2001)
29thDennis Johnson (1976)
30thJimmy Butler (2011)
Notable Later Picks:
31stGilbert Arenas (2001)
32ndRashard Lewis? (1998)
33rdJalen Brunson (2018)
35thDraymond Green (2012)
36thClifford Robinson (1989)
37thNick Van Exel (1993)
38thMehmet Okur (2001)
39thKhris Middleton (2012)
40thGeorge Gervin (1974)
41stNikola Jokic (2014)
43rdMichael Redd (2000)
45thAntonio Davis (1990)
46thJeff Hornacek (1986)
47thPaul Millsap (2006)
48thMarc Gasol (2007)
57thManu Ginóbili (1999)
60thIsaiah Thomas? (2011)
72ndMark Eaton (1982)
117thArtis Gilmore (1971)
For any controversial choices see below for the explanation.

Historical Chances by Each Top 30 Pick

Below is the breakdown for all Top 30 picks in the draft since its inception and a brief attempt to determine the best player drafted in each spot.

30th Overall

The only player drafted 30th overall to lead his draft class in Win Shares is Jimmy Butler.

The players who made it into 820 games are Spencer Haywood (1971) and David Lee. (Jimmy Butler is 6 games away.)

Best Player Drafted 30th Overall: Jimmy Butler

29th Overall

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games1825%t-27th
820 Games710.6%t-15th
1230 Games00t-last
NBA Champion1215.6%t-10th
All Star Game56.5%t-23rd
All Defense Team45.9%t-13th
All NBA22.6%t-22nd
Win Share Leader00t-last
Box Plus Minus Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer22.6%t-16th
Sixth Man24.3%t-3rd
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP11.8%t-8th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team000

All NBA: Phil Smith and Dennis Johnson

Hall of Famer: Dennis Johnson and Toni Kukoc

Sixth Man: Eddie Johnson, Toni Kukoc

Finals MVP: Dennis Johnson

Especially if we’re only considering NBA play, I think it’s obvious who the best player at this position is.

Best Player Drafted 29th Overall: Dennis Johnson

28th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games1419.4%29th
820 Games34.5%t-27th
1230 Games12.3%t-12th
Champion810.4%t-25th
All Star Game22.6%t-last
All Defense Team22.9%t-25th
All NBA Team22.6%t-22nd
Win Share Leader00t-last
BPM Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer11.3%t-23rd
Sixth Man12.2%t-9th
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP11.8%t-8th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

All NBA: Dan Roundfield, Tony Parker

Hall of Fame: Tony Parker

Sixth Man: Leandro Barbosa

Finals MVP: Tony Parker

Best Player Drafted 28th Overall: Tony Parker

27th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2027.8%t-24th
820 Games23%t-last
1230 Games00t-last
Championship1114.3%t-14th
All Star56.5%t-23rd
All Defense Team34.4%t-17th
All NBA Team33.9%t-18th
Win Shares Leader00t-last
BPM Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer2+12.6% (3.9%)t-16th (t-12th)
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY24.9%t-3rd
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team11.3%t-13th

I don’t know what it is about 27th overall, but the pick produces defenders.

All NBA: Dennis Rodman, Rudy Gobert, Pascal Siakam

Hall of Famer: Dennis Rodman, John Thompson, probably Rudy Gobert

DPOY: Dennis Rodman, Rudy Gobert (t-most ever)

NBA 75th Anniversary Team: Dennis Rodman

Best Player Drafted 27th Overall: Dennis Rodman

26th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games1318.1%Last
820 Games46.1%t-24th
1230 Games00t-last
Championship22.6%Last
All Star11.3%Last
All Defense Team11.5%t-27th
All NBA Team00t-last
Win Shares Leader11.3%t-13th
BPM Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer11.3%t-23rd
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

Historically, the worst draft position in the Top 30 isn’t 30th, but rather 26th.

This spot only produced 1 ever All Star, the Win Share Leader of his draft, Vlade Divac. (If you’re curious, the best player in that draft – 1989 – by BPM and VORP is the #14 pick Tim Hardaway. Divac played many more games.)

Divac is also the only Hall of Famer in this slot, and of course that’s in part for non-NBA reasons.

The only other player drafted at this position to receive any kind of All-League recognition is Andre Roberson, who once made 2nd Team All Defense.

Best Player Drafted 26th Overall: Vlade Divac

25th in Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games1520.8%28th
820 Games46.1%t-24th
1230 Games00t-last
Championship810.4%t-25th
All Star56.5%t-22nd
All Defense Team45.9%t-13th
All NBA Team11.3%t-27th
Win Shares Leader00t-last
BPM Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer00t-last
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

All NBA: Mark Price

Best Player Drafted 25th Overall: Mark Price

24th Overall:

At least 1230 games played: Derek Fisher, Terry Porter. (Also, Kyle Lowry is less than 100 games away.)

All NBA: Latrell Sprewell, Sam Cassell, Kyle Lowry

Win Shares Leader: Sam Cassell. (Kyle Lowry is 4.1 WS away from leading his draft.)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Arvydas Sabonis (originally drafted 77th overall the previous year)

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Kyle Lowry

Sabonis is obviously the pick of legend and I don’t think there’s anyone who saw both play who’d argue Cassell or Lowry was better than Sabonis. But in terms of NBA career, it’s between Cassell and Lowry.

Sam Cassell (1993)Kyle Lowry (2006)
Games9931138
PPG15.714.3
APG66.2
SPG1.11.3
RPG3.24.3
BPG0.20.3
PER19.517.4
TS%.544.570
All Star20042015-20
All NBA Team1st: No
2nd: 2004
3rd: No
1st: No
2nd: No
3rd: 2016
Win Shares87.5 (1st in draft)111.6 (2nd in draft)
BPM1.8 (3rd in draft)2.8 (2nd in draft)
VORP28.8 (2nd in draft)43.2 (1st in draft)
Hall of FamerUnlikelyMaybe
Champion1994: 5th in WS, 4th in BPM, t-4th in VORP
1995: t-5th in WS, 5th in BPM, t-5th in VORP
2008: Last/negative in WS/BPM/VORP
2019: 2nd in WS, 5th in BPM, t-2nd in VORP

Best Player Drafted 24th Overall: Kyle Lowry

(Did I mention I’m from Toronto?)

23rd Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2737.5%t-15th
820 Games7+110.6% (12.1%)t-15th (15th)
1230 Games12.3%t-12th
Championship810.4%t-25th
All Star56.5%22nd
All Defense Team34.4%t-17th
All NBA Team11.3%t-27th
Win Shares Leader00t-last
BPM Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer22.6%t-15th
Sixth Man12.8%t-10th
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

At least 1230 games: A.C. Green

All NBA: Alex English

Hall of Fame: Wayne Embry, Alex English

Sixth Man: Bobby Jackson

Best Player Drafted 23rd Overall: Alex English

22nd Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2027.8%t-24th
820 Games23%t-29th
1230 Games00t-last
Championship56.5%29th
All Star56.5%t-22nd
All Defense Team00t-last
All NBA Team22.6%t-22nd
Win Shares Leader00t-last
BPM Leader11.7%t-14th
VORP Leader11.7%t-12th
Hall of Famer11.3%t-23rd
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

All NBA: George McGinnis, Truck Robinson

Box Plus Minus Leader: George McGinnis (1973)

Value Over Replacement Leader: George McGinnis

Hall of Fame: George McGinnis

One of the weaker draft positions historically.

Best Player drafted 22nd Overall: Obviously it’s George McGinnis but if we omit his ABA career (as we’re supposed to) I guess it’s Truck Robinson

21st Overall

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2534.7%t-19th
820 Games57.6%23rd
1230 Games00t-last
Championship911.7%t-22nd
All Star67.8%t-18th
All Defense Team22.9%t-25th
All NBA Team11.3%t-26th
Win Shares Leader00t-last
BPM Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer1+11.3% (2.6%)t-23rd (t-17th)
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

All NBA: Rajon Rondo

Hall of Fame: Jerry Sloan (for coaching) and (I’m predicting) Rajon Rondo.

Best Player Drafted 21st Overall: Rajon Rondo

20th Overall

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games25+134.7% (36.1%)t-19th (t-18th)
820 Games46.1%t-24th
1230 Games00t-last
Championship1215.6%t-10th
All Star67.8%t-18th
All Defense Team34.4%t-17th
All NBA Team45.2%t-13th
Win Shares Leader11.3%t-12th
BPM Leader23.4%t-6th
VORP Leader11.7%t-12th
Hall of Famer22.6%t-17th
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

All NBA: Harry Gallatin*, Cliff Hagan, Gus Williams, Paul Pressey

*Because of the weirdness of the original BAA draft, Gallatin was drafted three times. This was the last time he was drafted so it’s the slot we’re counting his All NBA status.

Win Shares Leader: Cliff Hagan

Box Plus Minus Leader: Gus Williams, Larry Nance

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Gus Williams, Larry Nance

Hall of Fame: Harry Gallatin, Cliff Hagan

Harry Gallatin (1949)Cliff Hagan (1953)Larry Nance (1981)Gus Williams (1975)
Games682839920825
PPG1317.717.117.1
RPG11.96.682.7
BPGN/AN/A2.20.4
APG1.83.22.65.6
SPGN/AN/A0.92
PER21.6*19.819.918.5
TS%.497.512.586.505
All Star1951-19571958-1962; ABA: 19681985, 1989, 19831982-1983
All NBA Team1st: 1954
2nd: 1955
3rd: N/A
1st: No
2nd: 1958-1959
3rd: NA/A
No1st: 1982
2nd: 1980
3rd: No
Win Shares78.4 (3rd in draft)85.3 (1st in draft)109.6 (2nd in draft)67.9 (2nd in draft)
BPMN/AN/A3.6 (1st in draft)2.9 (1st in draft)
VORPN/AN/A43.5 (1st in draft)31.8 (2nd in draft)
Hall of FamerYesYesNoNo
ChampionNo1958: 2nd in WSNo1979: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP

By All-NBA it’s Gallatin, by rep it’s probably Hagan but I’m leaning Nance or Williams.

Best Player Drafted 20th: Cliff Hagan?

19th Overall

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2737.5%t-15th
820 Games69.1%t-21st
1230 Games00t-last
Championship1215.6%t-11th
All Star79.1%t-16th
All Defense Team11.5%t-27th
All NBA Team4*5.2%*t-13th*
Win Shares Leader00t-last
BPM Leader11.5%t-14th
VORP Leader11.5%t-12th
Hall of Famer33.9%t-13th
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team11.3%t-13th

All NBA: Harry Gallatin*, Tiny Archibald, Rod Strickland, Zach Randolph

*Obviously Gallatin was redrafted 20th overall later on

Box Plus Minus Leader: Rod Strickland (1988)

Value Over Replacement Leader: Rod Strickland

Hall of Fame: Harry Gallatin*, Don Nelson, Tiny Archibald

75th Anniversary Team: Tiny Archibald

Tiny Archibald (1970)Rod Strickland (1988)Zach Randolph (2001)
Games87610941116
PPG18.813.216.6
APG7.47.31.8
SPG1.1*1.50.7
RPG2.33.79.1
BPG0.1*0.20.3
PER181819.3
TS%.543.516.522
All Star1973, 1975-1976, 1980-82No2010, 2013
All NBA Team1st: 1973, 1975-1976
2nd: 1972, 1981
3rd: No
1st: No
2nd: 1998
3rd: No
1st: No
2nd: No
3rd: 2011
Win Shares83.4 (4th in draft)85.8 (3rd in his draft)81.1 (6th in draft)
BPM0.4* (t-7th in draft)2.3 (t-1st in draft)0.2 (t-9th in draft)
VORP12.9* (8th in draft)36.6 VORP (1st in draft)18.8 (9th)
Hall of FamerYesNoNo
Champion1981: 4th in WS, 6th (negative) in BPM, 5th in VORPNoNo

By counting stats, it’s Tiny Archibald, easily. By advanced stats, it doesn’t look like it but keep in mind that Archibald’s first three seasons, including his all-time great season in 1972-73, are not included in BPM and VORP.

Best Player drafted 19th Overall: Tiny Archibald

18th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2636.1%t-18th
820 Games1116.7%t-12th
1230 Games12.3%t-12th
Championship1114.3%t-15th
All Star810.4%15th
All Defense Team34.4%t-17th
All NBA Team11.3%t-26th
Win Shares Leader00t-last
BPM Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer22.%t-17th
Sixth Man24.3%t-3rd
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP11.8%t-7th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

At least 1230 games: Mark Jackson

All NBA: Joe Dumars

Hall of Famer: Joe Dumars, Calvin Murphy

Sixth Man: Ricky Pierce, J.R. Smith

Finals MVP: Joe Dumars

Best Player drafted 18th Overall: Joe Dumars

17th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2735.1%t-15th
820 Games69.1%t-21st
1230 Games00t-last
Championship1215.6%t-10th
All Star79.1%t-16th
All Defense Team45.9%t-12th
All NBA Team45.2%t-13th
Win Shares Leader00t-last
BPM Leader00t-last
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer22.6%t-17th
Sixth Man12.2%t-10th
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team00t-last

All NBA: Bill Sharman, Richie Guerin, Shawn Kemp, Jermaine O’Neal

Hall of Fame: Bill Sharman, Richie Guerin

Sixth Man: Aaron McKie

Bill Sharman (1950)Richie Guerin (1954)Shawn Kemp (1989)Jermaine O’Neal (1996)
Games71184810511011
PPG17.817.314.613.2
APG351.61.4
SPGN/AN/A1.10.5
RPG3.958.47.2
BPGN/AN/A1.21.8
PER18.3*17.319.117.9
TS%.497.493.555.517
All Star1953-19601958-19631993-19982002-2007
All NBA Team1st: 1956-1959
2nd: 1953, 1955, 1960
3rd: N/A
1st: No
2nd: 1959-1960, 1962
3rd: N/A
1st: No
2nd: 1994-1996
3rd: No
1st: No
2nd: No
3rd: 2002-2004
Win Shares82.8 WS (3rd in draft)69.2 (2nd in draft)89.5 (3rd in draft)66 WS (10th in draft)
BPMN/AN/A0.6 (t-7th in draft)0.3 (t-10th in draft)
VORPN/A N/A19.4 VORP (7th in draft)15.6 (11th in draft)
Hall of FamerYesYesNoNo
Champion1957: 3rd in WS
1959: 3rd in WS
1960: 4th in WS
1961: 2nd in WS
NoNoNo

Best Player drafted 17th Overall: Bill Sharman

16th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2433.3%21st
820 Games710.1%15th
1230 Games12.3%t-12th
Championship810.4%t-25th
All Star67.8%t-19th
All Defense Team34.4%t-17th
All NBA Team22.6%t-22nd
Win Shares Leader11.3%t-12th
BPM Leader11.7%t-14th
VORP Leader00t-last
Hall of Famer11.3%t-23rd
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY12.4%t-6th
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team11.3%t-13th

All NBA: John Stockton, Metta Sandiford Artest

Win Shares Leader:

Box Plus Minus Leader: Alperen Sengun (2022)

Hall of Fame: John Stockton

Defensive Player of the Year: Metta Sandiford Artest

75th Anniversary Team: John Stockton

Best Player drafted 16th overall: John Stockton

15th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games2331.9%22nd
820 Games7+110.6% (12.1%)t-15th (15th)
1230 Games00t-last
Championship1013%t-19th
All Star45.2%28th
All Defense Team22.9%t-25th
All NBA Team45.2%t-13th
Win Shares Leader11.3%t-12th
BPM Leader23.4%t-6th
VORP Leader23.4%t-8th
Hall of Famer1+21.3% (3.9%)t-22nd (t-11th)
Sixth Man12.2%t-10th
DPOY24.9%t-4th
MVP23.1%t-5th
Finals MVP23.6%t-5th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team33.9%t-7th

All NBA: Steve Nash, Al Jefferson, Kawhi Leonard, Giannis Antetokounmpo

Win Shares Leader: Giannis Antetokounmpo (2013)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Kawhi Leonard (2011)

Value Over Replacement Leader: Kawhi Leonard (2011)

Hall of Fame: Steve Nash, obviously Kawhi Leonard and Giannis Antetokounmpo will join him

Sixth Man:

Defensive Player of the Year: Kawhi Leonard, Giannis Antetokounmpo

MVP: Steve Nash, Giannis Antetokounmpo

Finals MVP: Kawhi Leonard, Giannis Antetokounmpo

75th Anniversary Team: Steve Nash, Kawhi Leonard, Giannis Antetokounmpo

Steve Nash (1996)Kawhi Leonard (2011)Giannis Antetokounmpo (2013)
Games1217696792
PPG14.32023.4
RPG36.49.8
BPG0.10.71.2
APG8.534.9
SPG0.71.71.1
PER2023.425.4
TS%.605.605.610
All Star2002-2003, 2006-2008, 2010, 20122016-2017, 2019-2021, 20242017-2024
All NBA1st: 2006-2007
2nd: 2008, 2010
3rd: 2002-2003
1st: 2016-2017, 2021
2nd: 2019-2020
3rd: No
1st: 2019-2023
2nd: 2017-2018
3rd: No
Win Shares129.7 WS (3rd in draft)99.3 WS (2nd in draft)109.3 (1st in draft)
BPM3 (3rd in draft)6.7 (1st in draft)6.5 (1st in draft)
VORP48.2 (4th in draft)48.4 (1st in draft)55.8 (1st in draft)
Hall of FamerYesLikelyLikely
DPOYNo2015-20162020
MVP2005-2006No2019-2020
FMVPNo2014, 20192021
75thYesYesYes
ChampionNo2014: 2nd in WS, 4th in BPM, 1st in VORP
2019: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
2021: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP

Best Player drafted 15th overall: Giannis Antetokounmpo (I say this as a massive Steve Nash fan and a Raptors fan)

14th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games28+138.9% (40.3%)14th
820 Games1215.6%11th
1230 Games00t-last
Championship1215.6%t-10th
All Star1013%12th
All Defense Team57.4%t-9th
All NBA Team56.5%t-11th
Win Shares Leader11.3%t-12th
BPM Leader23.4%t-6th
VORP Leader23.4%t-8th
Hall of Famer56.5%13th
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team22.6%t-9th

All NBA: Hal Greer, Maurice Lucas, Clyde Drexler, Tim Hardaway Peja Stojakovic

Win Shares Leader: Clyde Drexler (1983)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Clyde Drexler, Tim Hardaway

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Clyde Drexler, Tim Hardaway

Hall of Fame: K.C. Jones, Hal Greer, Clyde Drexler, Tim Hardaway

75th Anniversary Team: Hal Greer, Clyde Drexler

Best Player drafted 14th Overall: Clyde Drexler

13th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games3650%t-8th
820 Games1116.7%t-12th
1230 Games24.5%t-6th
Championship911.7%t-12th
All Star911.7%t-11th
All Defense Team68.8%t-5th
All NBA Team45.2%t-12th
Win Shares Leader22.6%t-10th
BPM Leader23.4%t-6th
VORP Leader23.4%t-8th
Hall of Famer33.9%t-11th
Sixth Man24.3%t-3rd
DPOY00t-last
MVP23.1%t-5th
Finals MVP11.8%t-7th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team22.6%t-9th

At least 1230 games: Karl Malone, Kobe Bryant

All NBA: Karl Malone, Kobe Bryant, Devin Booker, Donovan Mitchell

Win Shares Leader: Karl Malone (1985), Kobe Bryant (1996)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Karl Malone, Kobe Bryant

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Karl Malone, Kobe Bryant

Hall of Fame: Chuck Cooper, Karl Malone, Kobe Bryant

Sixth Man: Corliss Williamson, Tyler Herro

MVP: Karl Malone, Kobe Bryant

Finals MVP: Kobe Bryant

75th Anniversary Team: Karl Malone, Kobe Bryant

Best Player drafted 13th overall: Kobe Bryant

12th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games37+151.4% (52.8%)10th
820 Games710.6%t-15th
1230 Games12.3%t-12th
Championship1013%t-19th
All Star911.7%t-12th
All Defense Team57.4%t-9th
All NBA Team45.2%t-13th
Win Shares Leader56.5%5th
BPM Leader23.4%t-6th
VORP Leader35.2%t-5th
Hall of Famer33.9%t-11th
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP11.8%t-7th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team11.3%t-13th

At least 1230 games played: Paul Silas

All NBA: Larry Costello, Gary Hill, Julius Erving

Win Shares Leader: Paul Silas, Julius Erving, Tyrese Haliburton, Jalen Williams

Box Plus Minus Leader: Julius Erving, Tyrese Haliburton

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Julius Erving, Tyrese Haliburton, Jalen Williams

Hall of Fame: Larry Costello, Gary Hill, Julius Erving

Finals MVP: Cedric Maxwell

75th Anniversary Team: Julius Erving

Best Player drafted 12th overall: Julius Erving

11th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games34+147.2% (48.6%)13th
820 Games710.6%t-15h
1230 Games24.5%t-6th
Championship911.7%t-22nd
All Star1215.6%11th
All Defense Team45.9%t-12th
All NBA Team79.1%20th
Win Shares Leader11.3%t-12th
BPM Leader23.4%t-6th
VORP Leader11.7%t-12th
Hall of Famer3+23.9% (6.5%)t-11th (t-9th)
Sixth Man00t-last
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team11.3%t-last

At least 1230 games played: Kevin Willis, Reggie Miller

All NBA: Vern Mikkelsen, Fat Lever, Kevin Willis, Reggie Miller, Klay Thompson, Damontis Sabonis, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Win Shares Leader: Damontis Sabonis (2016)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Fat Lever (1982), Terrell Brandon (1991)

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Damontis Sabonis

Hall of Fame: Vern Mikkelsen, Jamaal Wilkes, Reggie Miller, probably Klay Thompson and, unless something horrible happens, SGA

75th Anniversary Team: Reggie Miller

Best Player drafted 11th overall: Reggie Miller?

10th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games4258.3%t-8th
820 Games1421.2%10th
1230 Games36.8%t-4th
Championship2127.3%2nd
All Star1924.7%7th
All Defense Team68.8%t-5th
All NBA Team1215.6%t-5th
Win Shares Leader33.9%t-7th
BPM Leader11.7%t-14th
VORP Leader11.7%t-12th
Hall of Famer8+110.4% (11.7%)t-6th (t-5th)
Sixth Man12.2%t-10th
DPOY00t-last
MVP11.5%t-8th
Finals MVP23.6%t-5th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team22.%t-9th

At least 1230 games: Paul Pierce, Jason Terry, Joe Johnson

All NBA: Bobby Manzer, Ralph Beard, Clyde Lovellette, Jack Twyman, Willis Reed, Gail Goodrich, Paul Westphal, Eddie Jones, Paul Pierce, Joe Johnson, Andrew Bynum, Paul George

Win Shares Leader: Clyde Lovellette (1952), Jack Twyman (1955), Paul George (2010)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Paul George

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Paul George

Hall of Fame: Bobby Wanzer, Clyde Lovellette, Jack Twyman, Willis Reed, Gail Goodrich, Paul Westphal, Paul Pierce, probably Paul George

Sixth Man: Jason Terry

MVP: Willis Reed

Finals MVP: Willis Reed, Paul Pierce

75th Anniversary Team: Willis Reed, Paul Pierce

Willis Reed (1964)Paul Pierce (1998)Paul George (2010)
Games6501343867
PPG18.719.720.8
RPG12.95.66.3
BPG1.1*0.60.4
APG1.83.53.7
SPG0.6*1.31.7
PER18.619.719.4
TS%.523.568.572
All Star1965-19712002-2006, 2008-20122013-2014, 2016-2019, 2021, 2023-2024
All NBA1st: 1970
2nd: 1967-1969, 1971
3rd: N/A
1st: No
2nd: 2009
3rd: 2002-2003, 2008
1st: 2019
2nd: No
3rd: 2013-2014, 2016, 2018, 2021
Win Shares74.9 (2nd in draft)150 (2nd in draft)88.5 (1st in draft)
BPM1.3* (1st in draft)3.7 BPM (2nd in draft)3.9 BPM (1st in draft)
VORP0.4* (8th in draft)65.5 (2nd in draft)43.6 (1st in draft)
Hall of FamerYesYesProbably
MVP1970NoNo
FMVP1970, 19732008No
75thYesYesNo
Champion1970: 2nd in WS
1973: 1st in WS
2008: 3rd in WS, t-3rd in BPM, 2nd in VORPNo

Best Player drafted 10th overall: Willis Reed

9th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games3650%t-11th
820 Games2131.8%t-5th
1230 Games511.4%2nd
Championship1316.9%9th
All Star1823.4%8th
All Defense Team57.4%t-9th
All NBA Team1114.3%7th
Win Shares Leader45.2%6th
BPM Leader23.4%t-6th
VORP Leader35.2%t-5th
Hall of Famer45.2%t-9th
Sixth Man12.2%t-10th
DPOY12.4%t-6th
MVP11.5%t-8th
Finals MVP47.3%t-2nd
NBA 75th Anniversary Team33.9%t-7th

At least 1230 games: John Havlicek, Otis Thorpe, Charles Oakley, Dirk Nowitzki, Andre Iguodala

All NBA: John Havlicek, Jo Jo White, Dale Ellis, Tracy McGrady, Dirk Nowitzki, Shawn Marion, Amar’e Stoudemire, Joakim Noah, DeMar DeRozan, Kemba Walker, Andre Drummond

Win Share Leaders: John Havlicek, Dirk Nowitzki (1998), Shawn Marion, Amar’e Stoudemire

Box Plus Minus Leader: Dirk Nowitzki, Andre Iguodala

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Dirk Nowitzki, Shawn Marion, Andre Iguodala

Hall of Fame: John Havlicek, Dirk Nowitzki

Sixth Man: Rodney Rogers

DPOY: Joakim Noah

MVP: Dirk Nowitzki

Finals MVP: John Havlicek, Jo Jo White, Dirk Nowitzki, Andre Iguodala

75th Anniversary Team: John Havlicek, Jo Jo White, Tracy McGrady, Dirk Nowitzki

John Havlicek (1962)Tracy McGrady (1997)Dirk Nowitzki (1998)
Games12709381522
PPG20.819.620.7
RPG6.35.67.5
BPG0.3*0.90.8
APG4.84.42.4
SPG1.2*1.20.8
PER17.522.122.4
TS%.492.519.577
All Star1966-19782001-20072002-2012, 2014-2015, 2019
All NBA1st: 1971-1974
2nd: 1964, 1966, 1968-1970, 1975-1976
3rd: N/A
1st: 2002-2003
2nd: 2004, 2007
3rd: 2005, 2008
1st: 2005-2007, 2009
2nd: 2002-2003, 2008, 2010-2011
3rd: 2001, 2004, 2012
Win Shares131.7 (1st in draft)97.3 (3rd in draft)206.3 (1st in draft)
BPM1.1* (5th* in draft)5.1 (2nd in draft)4.5 BPM (1st in draft)
VORP11.5* (1st* in draft)55.7 (2nd in draft)84.8 (1st in draft)
Hall of FamerYesYesYes
MVPNoNo2007
FMVP1974No2011
75thYesYesYes
Champion1963: 5th in WS
1964: 5th in WS
1965: 7th in WS
1966: 3rd in WS
1968: 1st in WS
1969: 1st in WS
1974: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1976: 4th in WS, 3rd in BPM, 4th in VORP
No2011: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP

Best Player drafted 9th overall: Dirk Nowitzki

8th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games4359.7%8th
820 Games1624.2%t-7th
1230 Games36.8%t-3rd
Championship1215.6%t-10th
All Star1316.9%10th
All Defense Team34.4%t-17th
All NBA Team810.4%9th
Win Shares Leader33.9%t-7th
BPM Leader00t-14th
VORP Leader11.7%t-10th
Hall of Famer56.5%t-8th
Sixth Man24.3%t-2nd
DPOY00t-last
MVP00t-last
Finals MVP00t-last
NBA 75th Anniversary Team22.6%t-9th

At least 1230 games: Robert Parish, Andre Miller, Jamal Crawford

All NBA: Dick McGuire, George Yardley, Sam Jones, Robert Parish, Tom Chambers, Detlef Schremp, Vin Baker

Win Shares Leader: Sam Jones (1957), Robert Parish (1976), Jack Sikma (1977)

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Jack Sikma

Hall of Fame: George Yardley, Sam Jones, Tom Sanders, Robert Parish, Jack Sikma

Sixth Man: Detleft Schremp, Jamal Crawford (t-most ever)

75th Anniversary Team: Sam Jones, Robert Parish

Sam Jones (1957)Robert Parish (1976)
Games8711611
PPG17.714.5
RPG4.99.1
BPGN/A1.5
APG2.51.4
SPGN/A0.8
PER18.719.2
TS%.503.571
All Star1962, 1964-1966, 19681981-1987, 1990-1991
All NBA1st: No
2nd: 1965-1967
3rd: N/A
1st: No
2nd: 1982
3rd: 1989
Win Shares92.3* (1st* in draft)147 (1st in draft)
BPMN/A1.5 (4th in draft)
VORPN/A40.7 (2nd in draft)
Hall of FamerYesYes
75thYesYes
Champion1959: 6th in WS
1960: 6th in WS
1961: 5th in WS
1962: 2nd in WS
1963: 2nd in WS
1964: 1st in WS
1965: 2nd in WS
1966: 2nd in WS
1968: 5th in WS
1969: t-6th in WS
1981: 3rd in WS, 4th in BPM, 3rd in VORP
1984: 4th in WS, t-5th in BPM, t-4th in VORP
1986: 6th in WS, 7th in BPM, t-6th in VORP
1997: t-last in WS, last in BPM, 10th in VORP

Best Player drafted 8th overall: Sam Jones

7th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games46+163.9% (65.3%)6th
820 Games1624.2%t-7th
1230 Games00%t-last
Championship1519.5%t-8th
All Star141.8%9th
All Defense Team45.8%t-12th
All NBA Team79.1%t-10th
Win Shares Leader00%t-last
BPM Leader11.7%t-14th
VORP Leader00%t-last
Hall of Famer56.5%t-8th
Sixth Man24.3%t-2nd
DPOY12.4%t-6th
MVP11.5%t-8th
Finals MVP11.8%t-7th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team22.6%t-9th

All NBA: Billy Cunningham, Bernard King, Alvin Robertson, Chris Mullin, Kevin Johnson, Stephen Curry, Julius Randle

Box Plus Minus Leader: Stephen Curry (2009)

Hall of Fame: Billy Cunningham, Pat Riley, Bernard King, Chris Mullin, and I’ve inducted Stephen Curry already

Sixth Man: Roy Tarpley, Eric Gordon

DPOY: Alvin Robertson

MVP: Stephen Curry

Finals MVP: Stephen Curry

75th Anniversary Team: Billy Cunningham, Stephen Curry,

Best Player drafted 7th overall: Stephen Curry

6th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games4461.1%7th
820 Games1624.2%t-6th
1230 Games00%t-last
Championship1620.8%7th
All Star2127.3%6th
All Defense Team68.8%t-5th
All NBA Team810.4%t-8th
Win Shares Leader22.6%t-10th
BPM Leader35.2%t-4th
VORP Leader35.2%t-5th
Hall of Famer7+19.1% (10.4%)7th (t-6th)
Sixth Man00%t-last
DPOY12.4%t-6th
MVP11.5%t-8th
Finals MVP11.8%t-7th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team45.2%6th

All NBA: Larry Foust, Dick Garmaker, Tom Heinsohn, Jerry Lucas, Adrian Dantley, Larry Bird, Brandon Roy, Damian Lillard

Win Shares Leader: Larry Bird (1978), Hersey Hawkins (1988)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Adrian Dantley (1976), Larry Bird, Brandon Roy (2006)

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Adrian Dantley, Larry Bird, Damian Lillard (2012)

Hall of Fame: Frank Ramsey, Tom Heinsohn, Dick Barnett, Lenny Wilkens, Jerry Lucas, Jerry Sloan, Larry Bird, likely Damian Lillard

DPOY: Marcus Smart

MVP: Larry Bird

Finals MVP: Larry Bird

75th Anniversary Team: Lenny Wilkens, Jerry Lucas, Larry Bird

Best player drafted 6th overall: Larry Bird

5th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games48+166.7% (68.1%)5th
820 Games2537.9%2nd
1230 Games36.8%t-3rd
Championship1924.7%4th
All Star3039%4th
All Defense Team913.2%4th
All NBA Team1722.1%4th
Win Shares Leader33.9%t-7th
BPM Leader23.4%t-6th
VORP Leader35.2%t-5th
Hall of Famer14+118.2% (19.5%)t-3rd (3rd)
Sixth Man24.3%t-2nd
DPOY24.9%t-4th
MVP23.1%t-5th
Finals MVP11.8%t-7th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team67.8%t-4th

At least 1230 games: Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen, Vince Carter

Win Shares Leader: Ed Macauley (1949), Waltz Frazier (1967), Kevin Garnett (1995)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Waltz Frazier, Kevin Garnett

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Walt Frazier, Bobby Jones (1974), Kevin Garnett

Hall of Fame: Ed Macauley, Guy Rodgers, Dick Barnett, Walt Frazier, Bobby Jones, Walter Davis, Sidney Moncrief, Charles Barkley, Scott Pippen, Mitch Richmond, Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen, Vince Carter, Dwyane Wade and I think Kevin Love will possibly be inducted as much as some of you might think that’s crazy

Sixth Man: Mike Miller, Bobby Jones

Defensive Player of the Year: Sidney Moncrief, Kevin Garnett

MVP: Charles Barkley, Kevin Garnett

Finals MVP: Dwyane Wade

75th Anniversary Team: Walt Frazier, Charles Barkley, Scottie Pippen, Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen, Dwyane Wade

Charles Barkley (1984)Kevin Garnett (1995)Dwyane Wade (2003)
Games107314621054
PPG22.117.822
RPG11.7104.7
BPG0.81.40.8
APG3.93.75.4
SPG1.51.31.5
PER24.622.723.5
TS%.612.546.554
All Star1987-19971997-1998, 2000-2011, 20132005-2016, 2019
All NBA1st: 1988-1991, 1993
2nd: 1986-1987, 1992, 1994-1995
3rd: 1996
1st: 2000, 2003-2004, 2008
2nd: 2001-2002, 2005
3rd: 1999, 2007
1st: 2009-2010
2nd: 2005-2006, 2011
3rd: 2007, 2012-2013
Win Shares177.2 (3rd in draft)191.4 (1st in draft)120.7 (2nd in draft)
BPM6.1 BPM (3rd in draft)5.6 BPM (1st in draft)5 BPM (2nd in draft)
VORP80.5 (3rd in draft)96.9 (1st in draft)62.8 (2nd in draft)
Hall of FamerYesYesYes
DPOYNo2008No
MVP19932004No
Finals MVPNoNo2006
75thYesYesYes
ChampionNo2008: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP2006: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
2012: 2nd in WS, 2nd in BPM, 2nd in VORP
2013: 4th in WS, 3rd in BPM, 2nd in VORP

Best Player drafted 5th overall: I want to say Kevin Garnett but I think you can clearly make a strong case for Wade.

4th Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games4968.1%4th
820 Games2334.8%4th
1230 Games24.5%t-6th
Championship2127.3%t-2nd
All Star2633.8%5th
All Defense Team68.8%t-5th
All NBA Team1215.%t-5th
Win Shares Leader79.1%t-3rd
BPM Leader35.2%t-4th
VORP Leader610.3%3rd
Hall of Famer911.7%5th
Sixth Man24.3%t-2nd
DPOY24.9%t-3rd
MVP34.6%4th
Finals MVP11.8%t-7th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team79.1%4th

At least 1230 games: Chris Paul, Sam Perkins

Win Shares Leader: Dolph Schayes (1948), Rick Barry (1965), Lou Hudson (1966), Alvan Adams (1975), Dikembe Mutombo (1991), Chris Paul (2005), Russell Westbrook (2008)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Lou Hudson, Chris Paul, Russell Westbrook

Value Over Replacement Leader: Lou Hudson, Alvan Adams, Dikembe Mutombo, Chris Paul, Russell Westbrook, Scottie Barnes (2021)

Hall of Fame: Dolph Schayes, Bob Cousy, Dave DeBusschere, Rick Barry, Dave Cowens, Dikembe Mutombo, Chris Bosh and I’ve already inducted Chris Paul and Russell Westbrook

Sixth Man: Antawn Jamison, Lamar Odom

DPOY: Dikembe Mutombo (t-most ever), Jaren Jackson Jr.

MVP: Bob Cousy, Dave Cowens, Russell Westbrook

Finals MVP: Rick Barry

75th Anniversary: Dolph Schayes, Bob Cousy, Dave Debusschere, Rick Barry, Dave Cowens, Chris Paul, Russell Westbrook

Dolph Schayes (1948)Bob Cousy (1950)Rick Barry (1965)Dave Cowens (1970)Chris Paul (2005)Russell Westbrook (2008)
Games996924102076612721162
PPG18.518.424.8 (1st in ABA PPG all time)17.617.521.7
RPG12.1*5.26.713.64.57.1
BPGN/AN/A0.5*0.9*0.20.3
APG3.17.54.93.89.48.1
SPGN/AN/A2*1.1*2.11.6
PER22.119.921172422
TS%.488.446.525.496.581.526
All Star1951-19621951-19631966-1969, 1973-1978
ABA: 1969-1972
1972-1978, 19802008-2016, 2020-20222011-2013, 2015-2020
All NBA1st: 1952-1955, 1957-1958
2nd: 1950-1951, 1956, 1959-1961
3rd: N/A
1st: 1952-1961
2nd: 1962-1963
3rd: N/A
1st: 1966-1967, 1974-1976
ABA 1st: 1969-1972
2nd: 1973
3rd: N/A
1st: No
2nd: 1973, 1975, 1976
3rd: N/A
1st: 2008, 2012-2014
2nd: 2009, 2015-2016, 2020-2021
3rd: 2011, 2022
1st: 2016-2018
2nd: 2011-2013, 2015, 2018
3rd: 2019-2020
Win Shares142.4 (1st in draft)91.1 (2nd in draft)93.4 (1st in draft)86.3 (2nd in draft)209.4 (1st in draft)110.6 (1st in draft)
BPMN/AN/A3* (1st* in draft)2.3* (t-3rd* in draft)6.9 BPM (1st in draft)3.9 (1st in draft)
VORPN/AN/A24.8* (1st* in draft)21.5* (4th* in draft)97.3 (1st in draft)57.9 (1st in draft)
Hall of FamerYesYesYesYesExtremely likelyExtremely likely
MVPNo1957No1973No2017
Finals MVPN/AN/A1975NoNoNo
75thYesYesYesYesYesYes
Champion1955: 1st in WS1957: t-3rd in WS
1959: 4th in WS
1960: 8th in
WS
1961: t-3rd in WS
1975: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP1974: 2nd in WS, 6th in BPM, 2nd in VORP
1976: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
NoNo

Best player drafted 4th overall: By regular season I think it’s Chris Paul but…

3rd Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games54+275% (77.8%)2nd (t-1st)
820 Games2030.3%6th
1230 Games24.5%t-6th
Championship1823.4%5th
All Star3545.5%2nd
All Defense Team1014.7%t-2nd
All NBA Team2532.5%2nd
Win Shares Leader1215.6%2nd
BPM Leader813.8%2nd
VORP Leader712.1%2nd
Hall of Famer14+318.2% (22.1%)t-3rd (t-2nd)
Sixth Man36.5%1st
DPOY12.4%t-7th
MVP46.2%3rd
Finals MVP35.5%4th
NBA 75th Anniversary Team810.4%3rd

At least 1230 games: Buck Williams, Carmelo Anthony

Win Shares Leader: Paul Arizin (1950), Wilt Chamberlain (1959), Nate Thurmond (1963), Kevin McHale (1980), Buck Williams (1981), Dominique Wilkins (1982), Michael Jordan (1984), Pau Gasol (2001), James Harden (2009), Jayson Tatum (2017), Luka Dončić (2018), Evan Mobley (2021)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Marques Johnson (1977), Kevin McHale, Dominique Wilkins, Michael Jordan, Paul Gasol, James Harden, Jayson Tatum, Luka Dončić,

Value Over Replacement Leader: Kevin McHale, Dominique Wilkins, Michael Jordan, Paul Gasol, James Harden, Jayson Tatum, Luka Dončić

Hall of Fame: Paul Arizin, Wil Chamberlain, Bob Houbregs, Tom Gola, Zelmo Beaty, Nate Thurmond, Pete Maravich, Kevin McHale, Dominique Wilkins, Michael Jordan, Grant Hill, Chauncey Billups, Paul Gasol, Carmelo Anthony is very likely, I’ve already inducted James Harden, and probably Jayson Tatum and Joel Embiid

Sixth Man: Kevin McHale, Ben Gordon, James Harden

DPOY: Michael Jordan

MVP (now named after Michael Jordan): Wilt Chamberlain, Michael Jordan, James Harden, Joel Embiid

Finals MVP: Wilt Chamberlain, Michael Jordan, Chauncey Billups

75th Anniversary Team: Wilt Chamberlain, Nate Thurmond, Pete Maravich, Kevin McHale, Dominique Wilkins, Michael Jordan, Carmelo Anthony, James Harden

Wilt Chamberlain (1959)Michael Jordan (1984)
Games10451072
PPG30.130.1 (1st all time)
RPG22.9 (1st all time)6.2
BPGN/A0.8
APG4.45.3
SPGN/A2.3
PER26.227.9
TS%.547.569
All Star1960-1969, 1971-19731985-1993, 1996-1998, 2002-2003
All NBA1st: 1960-1962, 1964, 1966-1968
2nd: 1963, 1965, 1972
3rd: N/A
1st: 1987-1993, 1996-1998
2nd: 1985
3rd: No
Win Shares247.3 (1st in draft)214 (1st in draft)
BPMN/A9.2 (1st in draft)
VORPN/A116.1 (1st in draft)
Hall of FamerYesYes
MVP1960, 1966, 1967, 19681988, 1991, 1992, 1996, 1998
Finals MVP19721991, 1992, 1993, 1996, 1997, 1998 (most ever)
75thYesYes
Champion1967: 1st in WS
1972: 1st in WS
1991: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1992: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1993: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1996: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1997: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1998: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP

Best Player drafted 3rd overall: Michael Jordan

2nd Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games5170.8%3rd
820 Games2639.4%1st
1230 Games24.5%t-6th
Championship1823.4%5th
All Star3342.9%3rd
All Defense Team1014.7%t-2nd
All NBA Team2329.9%3rd
Win Shares Leader79.1%t-3rd
BPM Leader58.6%3rd
VORP Leader58.6%4th
Hall of Famer1722.1%2nd
Sixth Man00%t-last
DPOY49.8%1st
MVP57.7%2nd
Finals MVP47.3%t-2nd
NBA 75th Anniversary Team1114.3%2nd

At least 1230 games: Gary Payton, Jason Kidd

Win Shares Leader: Bob Pettit (1954), Bill Russell (1956), Gary Payton (1990), Jason Kidd (1994), LaMarcus Aldridge (2006), Kevin Durant (2007)

Box Plus Minus Leader: Wes Unseld (1968), Gary Payton, Jason Kidd, Kevin Durant

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Wes Unseld, Gary Payton, Jason Kidd, Kevin Durant, Ja Morant

Hall of Fame: Bob Pettit, Maurice Stokes, Bill Russell, Bailey Howell, Jerry West, Rod Thorn, Bill Bradley, Dave Bing, Earl Monroe, Wes Unseld, Rudy Tomjanovich, Bob McAdoo, Isiah Thomas, Gary Payton, Alonzo Mourning, Jason Kidd, I’ve already inducted Kevin Durant

DPOY: Gary Payton, Alonzo Mourning, Marcus Camby, Tyson Chandler

MVP: Bob Pettit, Bill Russell, Wes Unseld, Bob McAdoo, Kevin Durant

Finals MVP (named after Bill Russell): Jerry West, Wes Unseld, Isiah Thomas, Kevin Durant

75th Anniversary Team: Bob Pettit, Bill Russell, Jerry West, Dave Bing, Earl Monroe, Wes Unseld, Bob McAdoo, Isiah Thomas, Gary Payton, Jason Kidd, Kevin Durant

Bob Pettit (1954)Bill Russell (1956)Jerry West (1960)Wes Unseld (1968)Bob McAdoo (1972)Isiah Thomas (1981)Kevin Durant (2007)
Games7929639329848529791061
PPG26.415.12710.822.119.227.3
RPG16.222.55.8149.43.67
BPGN/AN/A0.7**0.61.5*0.31.1
APG34.36.73.92.39.34.4
SPGN/AN/A2.6*1.1*1*1.91.1
PER25.418.922.91620.718.125
TS%.511.471.550.537.551.516.619
All Star1955-19651958-19691961-19741969, 1971-1973, 19751974-19781982-19932010-2019, 2021-2024
All NBA1st: 1955-1964
2nd: 1965
3rd: N/A
1st: 1959, 1963, 1965
2nd: 1958, 1960-62, 1964, 1966-1968
3rd: N/A
1st: 1962-1967, 1970-1973
2nd: 1968-1969
3rd: N/A
1st: 1969
2nd: No
3rd: N/A
1st: 1975
2nd: 1974
3rd: No
1st: 1984-1986
2nd: 1983, 1987
3rd: No
1st: 2010-2014, 2018
2nd: 2016-2017, 2019, 2022
3rd: No
Win Shares136 (1st in draft)163.5 (1st in draft)162.6 (2nd in draft)110.1 (2nd in draft)89.1 (2nd in draft)80.7 (3rd in draft)170.2 (1st in draft)
BPMN/AN/A4.7* (1st* in draft)2.9* (1st* in draft)2.2 (3rd in draft)2.6 (2nd in draft)6.6 (1st in draft)
VORPN/AN/A1.6* (2nd* in draft)25.3 (1st* in draft)27.2 (2nd in draft)41.6 (2nd in draft)85.8
Hall of FamerYesYesYesYesYesYesGuaranteed
MVP1956, 19591958, 1961, 1962, 1963, 1965No19691975No2014
Finals MVPN/AN/A19691978No19902017-2018
75thYesYesYesYesYesYesYes
Champion1958: 2nd in WS1957: t-1st in WS
1959: 2nd in WS
1960: 1st in WS
1961: 1st in WS
1962: 1st in WS
1963: 1st in WS
1964: 2nd in WS
1965: 1st in WS
1966: 1st in WS
1968: 4th in WS (+ coach)
1969: 4th in WS (+ coach)
1972: 5th in WS1978: 2nd in WS, 2nd in BPM, 2nd in VORP1982: 4th in WS, t-5th in BPM, t-4th in VORP
1985: 8th in WS, 11th in BPM, last in VORP
1989: 2nd in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1990: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
2017: 2nd in WS, 1st in BPM, 2nd in VORP
2018: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 2 VORP

Best Player drafted 2nd overall: Bill Russell?

1st Overall:

AchievementTotalPercentageRank
410 Games5677.8%1st
820 Games2436.4%3rd
1230 Games613.6%1st
Championship2431.2%1st
All Star4761%1st
All Defense Team1522.1%1st
All NBA Team3039%1st
Win Shares Leader1418.2%1st
BPM Leader1525.9%1st
VORP Leader1017.2%1st
Hall of Famer21+327.3% (31.2%)1st
Sixth Man24.3%t-2nd
DPOY37.3%2nd
MVP1116.9%1st
Finals MVP814.5%1st
NBA 75th Anniversary Team1519.5%1st

At least 1230 games: Elvin Hayes, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Hakeem Olajuwon, Tim Duncan, LeBron James, Dwight Howard

Win Shares Leader: Elgin Baylor (1958), Oscar Robertson (1960), Walt Bellamy (1961), Elvin Hayes (1968), Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (1969), Bob Lanier (1970), Magic Johnson (1979), David Robinson (1987), Shaquille O’Neal (1992), Tim Duncan (1997), LeBron James (2003), Dwight Howard (2004), Anthony Davis (2012), Karl-Anthony Towns (2015)

Box Plus Mins Leader: Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Bob Lanier, Bill Walton (1974), Magic Johnson, David Robinson, Shaquille O’Neal, Chris Webber (1993), Tim Duncan, Yao Ming (2002), LeBron James, Anthony Davis, Karl-Anthony Towns, Ben Simmons (2016), Zion Williamson (2019), Victor Wembanyama (2023)

Value Over Replacement Player Leader: Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Bob Lanier, Magic Johnson, David Robinson, Shaquille O’Neal, Chris Webber, Tim Duncan, LeBron James, Karl-Anthony Towns, Victor Wembanyama

Hall of Fame: Elgin Baylor, Oscar Robertson, Walt Bellamy, Elvin Hayes, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Bob Lanier, Doug Collins, David Thompson, Magic Johnson, James Worthy, Ralph Sampson, Hakeem Olajuwon, Patrick Ewing, David Robinson, Shaquille O’Neal, Chris Webber, Allen Iverson, Tim Duncan, Yao Ming, I’ve obviously inducted LeBron James, probably Dwight Howard, I’m going to say “probably” for Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis

Sixth Man: Bill Walton, Danny Manning

DPOY: Hakeem Olajuwon, David Robinson, Dwight Howard

MVP: Oscar Robertson, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Bill Walton, Magic Johnson, Hakeem Olajuwon, David Robinson, Shaquille O’Neal, Allen Iverson, Tim Duncan, LeBron James, Derrick Rose

Finals MVP: Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Bill Walton, Magic Johnson, James Worthy, Hakeem Olajuwon, Shaquille O’Neal, Tim Duncan, LeBron James

75th Anniversary Team: Elgin Baylor, Oscar Robertson, Elvin Hayes, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Bill Walton, Magic Johnson, James Worthy, Hakeem Olajuwon, Patrick Ewing, David Robinson, Shaquille O’Neal, Allen Iverson, Tim Duncan, LeBron James, Anthony Davis

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar (1969)Magic Johnson (1979)Tim Duncan (1997)LeBron James (2003)
Games156090613921492
PPG24.619.51927.1
RPG11.27.210.87.5
BPG2.6*0.42.20.7
APG3.611.2 (1st all time)37.4
SPG0.9*1.90.71.5
PER24.624.124.227.1
TS%.592.610.551.589
All Star1970-1977, 1979-19891980, 1982-19921998, 2000-2011, 2013, 20152005-2024
All NBA1st: 1971-1974, 1976-1977, 1980-1981, 1984, 1986
2nd: 1970, 1978-1979, 1983, 1985
3rd: No

1st: 1983-1991
2nd: 1982
3rd: No
1st: 1998-2005, 2007, 2013
2nd: 2006, 2008-2010
3rd: 2010, 2015
1st: 2006, 2008-2020
2nd: 2005, 2007, 2021
3rd: 2022-2024
Win Shares273.4 (1st all time)155.8 (1st in draft)206.4 (1st in draft)263.67 (1st in draft)
BPM5.7* (1st* in draft)7.5 (1st in draft)5.6 (1st in draft)8.65 (1st in draft)
VORP85.7* (1st* in draft)80 (1st in draft)91.1 (1st in draft)151.92 (1st all time)
Hall of FamerYesYesYesYes
MVP1971, 1972, 1974, 1976, 1977, 1980 (most ever)1987, 1989, 19902002-20032009-2010, 2012-2013
Finals MVP1971, 19851980, 1982, 19871999, 2003, 20052012-2013, 2016, 2020
75thYesYesYesYes
Champion1971: 1st in WS
1980: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, t-1st in VORP
1982: t-2nd in WS, 3rd in BPM, 2nd in VORP
1985:
3rd in WS, 2nd in BPM, 2nd in VORP
1987: 3rd in WS, 5th in BPM, 4th in VORP
1988: 7th in WS, t-7th in BPM, t-7th in VORP
1980: 2nd in WS, 2nd in BPM, t-1st in VORP
1982: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1985: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1987: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1988: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
1999: 1st in WS, 2nd in BPM, 1st in VORP
2003: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
2005: 2nd in WS, 3rd in BPM, 2nd in VORP
2007: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
2014: 1st in WS, 7th in BPM, 4th in VORP
2012: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
2013: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
2016: 1st in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP
2020: 2nd in WS, 1st in BPM, 1st in VORP

Best Player drafted 1st overall: LeBron James


The Best 2nd/Late Round Picks Ever

Very occasionally, stars have been drafted outside of the Top 30. Everyone knows about Jokic now but there have been a few. Below is a list of players drafted outside the Top 30 to have some notable success:

117th Overall in 1971 – Artis Gilmore

(It was a different time…)

  • ABA All Time Team
  • ABA Finals MVP (’75
  • 1x ABA MVP (’74)
  • Hall of Famer
  • Best Player in his draft by Win Shares, BPM and VORP
  • 5x All ABA 1st Team
  • 1x All Defense 2nd Team
  • 4x All ABA Defense 1st Team
  • 6x All Star Game
  • 5x ABA All Star Game
  • At least 820 NBA games played

72nd Overall in 1979 – Mark Eaton

  • 2x DPOY (’85, ’89)
  • 3x All Defense 1st Team
  • 2x All Defense 2nd Team
  • 1x All Star Game
  • At least 820 games played

60th Overall in 1978 – Michael Cooper

  • DPOY (’87)
  • Hall of Famer
  • 5x All Defense 1st Team
  • 3x All Defense 2nd Team
  • 5x Champion
  • At least 820 games played

60th Overall in – 2011 – Isaiah Thomas

  • 1x All NBA 2nd Team
  • 2x All Star Game

57th Overall in 1999 – Manu Ginobili

  • 2x All NBA 3rd Team
  • Hall of Famer
  • Best Player in his draft by Box Plus Minus (BPM) and Value Over Replacement Player (VORP)
  • Sixth Man (’08)
  • 2x All Star Game
  • 4x Champion
  • At least 820 games played

48th Overall in 1988 – Michael Williams

  • t-Best Player in his draft by BPM (with Rod Strickland)
  • 1x All Defense 2nd Team
  • 1x Champion
  • At least 410 games played

48th Overall in 1990 – Cedric Ceballos

  • 1x All Star Game
  • At least 410 games played

48th Overall in 2007 – Marc Gasol

  • DPOY (’13)
  • 1x All NBA 1st Team
  • 1x All NBA 2nd Team
  • 1x All Defense 2nd Team
  • 3x All Star Game
  • Champion
  • At least 820 games played

47th Overall in 2006 – Paul Millsap

  • 1x All Defense 2nd Team
  • 4 All Star Game
  • At least 820 games played

46th Overall in 1986 – Jeff Hornacek

  • Best Player in his draft by Win Shares and VORP
  • 1x All Star Game
  • At least 820 Games Played

45th Overall in 1990 – Antonio Davis

  • 1x All Star Game
  • At least 820 games played

45th Overall in 2005 – Lou Williams

  • 3x Sixth Man (t-most ever)
  • At least 820 games played

43rd Overall in 1997 – Stephen Jackson

  • Champion
  • At least 820 games played

43rd Overall in 2000 – Michael Redd

  • Best Player in his draft by BPM and VORP
  • 1x All NBA 3rd Team
  • 1x All Star Game
  • At least 410 games played

41st Overall in 2014 – Nikola Jokic

  • Whenever they make the 100th Anniversary Team, he’ll be on it
  • Finals MVP (’23)
  • MVP (’21, ’22)
  • 3x All NBA 1st Team
  • 2x All NBA 2nd Team
  • Future Hall of Famer
  • Best Player in his draft by Win Shares, BPM and VORP
  • 6x All Star Game
  • Champion
  • At least 410 games played

Obviously this record will get better.

40th Overall in 1974 – George Gervin

  • NBA 75th Anniversary Team
  • ABA All Time Team
  • Hall of Fame
  • Best Player in his draft by Win Shares
  • 5x All NBA 1st Team
  • 2x All NBA 2nd Team
  • 2x All ABA 2nd Team
  • 9x All Star Game
  • 3x ABA All Star Game
  • At least 410 NBA games played

39th Overall in 2012 – Khris Middleton

  • 3 x All Star Game
  • Champion
  • On his way to 820 games played

38th Overall in 2001 – Mehmet Okur

  • 1x All Star Game
  • Champion
  • At least 410 games played

38th Overall in 2019 – Daniel Gafford

  • Best Player in his draft [at the moment] in Win Shares

37th Overall in 1993 – Nick Van Exel

  • 1x All Star Game
  • At least 820 games played

36th Overall in 1989 – Clifford Robinson

  • Sixth Man (’93)
  • 2x All Defense 2nd Team
  • 1x All Star Game

35th Overall in 2002 – Carlos Boozer

  • Best Player in his draft by VORP
  • 1x All NBA 3rd Team
  • 2x All Star Game
  • At least 820 games played

35th Overall in 2008 – DeAndre Jordan

  • 1x All NBA 1st Team
  • 2x All NBA 3rd Team
  • 2x All Defense 1st Team
  • 1x All Star Game
  • 1x Champion
  • At least 820 games played

35th Overall in 2012 – Draymond Green

  • DPOY (’17)
  • 1x All NBA 2nd Team
  • 1x All NBA 3rd Team
  • 4x All Defece 1st Team
  • 4x All Defense 2nd Team
  • 4x All Star Game
  • 4x Champion
  • Will pass 820 games played next season

33rd Overall in 2010 – Hassan Whiteside

  • 1x All Defense 2nd Team
  • At least 410 games played

33rd Overall in 2018 – Jalen Brunson

  • 1x All NBA 2nd Team
  • 1x All Star Game
  • At least 410 games played

32nd Overall in 1973 – Caldwell Jones

  • Best Player in his draft by Win Shares
  • 2x All Defense 1st Team
  • 1x ABA All Star Game
  • At least 820 NBA games played

32nd Overall in 1998 – Rashard Lewis

  • 2x All Star Game
  • Champion
  • At least 820 games played

32nd Overall in 2015 0 Montrezl Harrell

  • Sixth Man (’20)
  • At least 410 games played

31st Overall in 1981 – Danny Ainge

  • 2x All Star Game
  • 2x Champion
  • At least 820 games played

31st Overall in 2001 – Gilbert Arenas

  • 1x All NBA 2nd Team
  • 2x All NBA 3rd Team
  • 3x All Star Game
  • At least 410 games played

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